XRP is now back trading above $3 and is holding well above the price level. This is on the back of days of consolidating around $2.8. Although price action in the past 24 hours has seen XRP trading back above $3, it is yet to confirm a close to solidify the zone. Against this backdrop, technical analysis of the XRP 4-hour candlestick timeframe chart shows a critical level that could determine whether XRP finally breaks free into price discovery.
Resistance Keeping XRP From Price Discovery
Although the XRP price is currently inching slowly upwards, technical analysis shows it is yet to break above a technical resistance keeping it from price recovery. According to a technical analysis of the XRP 4-hour candlestick timeframe chart that was posted on the social media platform X by CoinsKid, XRP’s movement in August was capped by a resistance line at $3.3774. This resistance is represented with the white trendline in the price chart below.
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The importance of this line goes beyond short-term price action. As it stands, this resistance barrier has effectively become the gatekeeper between XRP’s current price action and the possibility of a major breakout for price discovery into new all-time highs.
According to the analyst, clearing this line would mark the point at which XRP could enter price discovery, a stage where there are no previous highs to serve as reference points. Until that happens, XRP is expected to continue oscillating within its established range, with $2.7346 acting as the lower white support line on the chart.
Possible Shakeout Before The Break
Although XRP has managed to hold above notable price points around $2.8 during its most recent corrections, there’s always the possibility of a strong downside move. CoinsKid also noted that a final shakeout could take place before any bullish breakout occurs.
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This shakeout could see the sellers gain temporary momentum and cause the XRP price to break below $2.8 and crash to lower price levels. In this case, the analyst pointed to the orange support trendline at $2.3375 as a possible level that XRP might retest in such a shakeout.
CoinsKid linked this possibility to September, earning the reputation of being rektember during bull cycles. However, this September might be different, considering the current dynamics of the crypto market.
At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $3.06, up by 1.8% in the past 24 hours. The analyst noted that XRP’s macro structure will be bullish as long as it holds above the green line at $1.9061. This long-term support has so far underpinned the rally that began in late June.
XRP is already up by about 10% from its September open, but it could possibly perform better in the later part of the month. The probability of a Fed rate cut in September is now above 97%, and this could play into a bullish run for XRP and many other large market-cap cryptocurrencies.
Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com